Combining Hidden Markov Model and case based reasoning for time series forecasting

Zahari, A. and Jaafar, J. (2015) Combining Hidden Markov Model and case based reasoning for time series forecasting. Communications in Computer and Information Science, 513. pp. 237-247. ISSN 18650929

Full text not available from this repository.
Official URL: https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2....

Abstract

Hidden Markov Model is one of the most popular and broadly used for representation vastly structured series of data. This paper presents the application of the new approach of Hidden Markov Model and three ensemble nonlinear models to forecasting the foreign exchange rates. The proposed approach and other combination of computational intelligent techniques such as multi layer perceptron, support vector machine are compared with root mean squared error (RMSE) and Mean Absolute Error (MAE) as the performance measures. The results indicate that the new approach of Hidden Markov Model yield the best results consistently over all the currencies. and Case Based Reasoning based ensembles Based on the numerical experiments conducted, it is inferred that using the correct sophisticated ensemble methods in the computational intelligence paradigm can enhance the results obtained by the extent techniques to forecast foreign exchange rates. This suggests that the new approach of HMM is a powerful analytical instrument that is satisfactorily compared to using only the single model and other soft computing techniques for exchange rate predictions. ©Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2015.

Item Type: Article
Additional Information: cited By 2; Conference of 13th International Conference on New Trends in Intelligent Software Methodology Tools and Techniques, SoMeT 2014 ; Conference Date: 22 September 2014 Through 24 September 2014; Conference Code:142539
Uncontrolled Keywords: Artificial intelligence; Case based reasoning; Economics; Finance; Financial markets; Forecasting; Markov processes; Mean square error; Numerical methods; Soft computing; Time series, Analytical instrument; Computational intelligent techniques; Foreign exchange rates; Multi layer perceptron; Numerical experiments; Root mean squared errors; Softcomputing techniques; Time series forecasting, Hidden Markov models
Depositing User: Mr Ahmad Suhairi UTP
Date Deposited: 09 Nov 2023 16:18
Last Modified: 09 Nov 2023 16:18
URI: https://khub.utp.edu.my/scholars/id/eprint/6278

Actions (login required)

View Item
View Item