Empirical analysis of parallel-NARX recurrent network for long-term chaotic financial forecasting

Abdulkadir, S.J. and Yong, S.-P. (2014) Empirical analysis of parallel-NARX recurrent network for long-term chaotic financial forecasting. In: UNSPECIFIED.

Full text not available from this repository.
Official URL: https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2....

Abstract

Financial data are characterized by non-linearity, noise, volatility and are chaotic in nature thus making the process of forecasting cumbersome. The main aim of forecasters is to develop an approach that focuses on increasing profit by being able to forecast future stock prices based on current stock data. This paper presents an empirical long term chaotic financial forecasting approach using Parallel non-linear auto-regressive with exogenous input (P-NARX) network trained with Bayesian regulation algorithm. The experimental results based on mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) and other forecasting error metrics shows that P-NARX network trained with Bayesian regulation slightly outperforms Levenberg-marquardt, Resilient back-propagation and one-step-secant training algorithm in forecasting daily Kuala Lumpur Composite Indices. © 2014 IEEE.

Item Type: Conference or Workshop Item (UNSPECIFIED)
Additional Information: cited By 19; Conference of 2014 International Conference on Computer and Information Sciences, ICCOINS 2014 ; Conference Date: 3 June 2014 Through 5 June 2014; Conference Code:112912
Uncontrolled Keywords: Backpropagation; Electronic trading; Finance; Forecasting, Bayesian regulation; Chaotic time series; Financial forecasting; Long-term forecasting; Mean absolute percentage error; NARX network; Resilient backpropagation; Training algorithms, Recurrent neural networks
Depositing User: Mr Ahmad Suhairi UTP
Date Deposited: 09 Nov 2023 16:15
Last Modified: 09 Nov 2023 16:15
URI: https://khub.utp.edu.my/scholars/id/eprint/4199

Actions (login required)

View Item
View Item