Integrating singular spectrum analysis and nonlinear autoregressive neural network for stock price forecasting

Fathi, A.Y. and El-Khodary, I.A. and Saafan, M. (2022) Integrating singular spectrum analysis and nonlinear autoregressive neural network for stock price forecasting. IAES International Journal of Artificial Intelligence, 11 (3). pp. 851-858. ISSN 20894872

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Abstract

The main objective of stock market investors is to maximize their gains. As a result, stock price forecasting has not lost interest in recent decades. Nevertheless, stock prices are influenced by news, rumor, and various economic factors. Moreover, the characteristics of specific stock markets can differ significantly between countries and regions, based on size, liquidity, and regulations. Accordingly, it is difficult to predict stock prices that are volatile and noisy. This paper presents a hybrid model combining singular spectrum analysis (SSA) and nonlinear autoregressive neural network (NARNN) to forecast close prices of stocks. The model starts by applying the SSA to decompose the price series into various components. Each component is then used to train a NARNN for future price forecasting. In comparison to the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) and NARNN models, the SSA-NARNN model performs better, demonstrating the effectiveness of SSA in extracting hidden information and reducing the noise of price series. © 2022, Institute of Advanced Engineering and Science. All rights reserved.

Item Type: Article
Additional Information: cited By 3
Depositing User: Mr Ahmad Suhairi UTP
Date Deposited: 19 Dec 2023 03:22
Last Modified: 19 Dec 2023 03:22
URI: https://khub.utp.edu.my/scholars/id/eprint/16433

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