eprintid: 9054
rev_number: 2
eprint_status: archive
userid: 1
dir: disk0/00/00/90/54
datestamp: 2023-11-09 16:21:00
lastmod: 2023-11-09 16:21:00
status_changed: 2023-11-09 16:14:09
type: article
metadata_visibility: show
creators_name: Hussain, M.
creators_name: Yusof, K.W.
creators_name: Mustafa, M.R.
creators_name: Mahmood, R.
creators_name: Shaofeng, J.
title: Projected changes in temperature and precipitation in sarawak state of Malaysia for selected CMIP5 climate scenarios
ispublished: pub
keywords: Climate models; Precipitation (chemical), Borneo; CanESM2; CMIP5 scenarios; Malaysia; NCEP; Sarawak; Statistical downscaling; Temperature projection, Climate change, atmospheric general circulation model; atmospheric modeling; climate change; CMIP; downscaling; precipitation (climatology); seasonal variation; temperature effect, Bintulu; Borneo; East Malaysia; Kuching; Malaysia; Sarawak
note: cited By 17
abstract: This article explores the projected changes in precipitation, maximum temperature (Tmax) and minimum temperature (Tmin) in the Malaysian state of Sarawak under Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) with the CanESM2 Global Circulation Model. The Statistical Downscaling Model (SDSM) was used to downscale these climate variables at three stations in Sarawak. The model performed well during the validation period and thus was used for future projections under three RCPs with the CanESM2 General Circulation Model. It is noted that the Tmax will increase by 1.94°C at Kuching, 0.09°C at Bintulu and 1.29°C at Limbang, when comparing the period of 2071�2100 with the baseline period of 1981�2010, under the most robust scenario of RCP8.5. Tmin is also expected to increase by 1.21°C at Kuching, 0.15°C at Bintulu and 2.08°C at Limbang, under the RCP 8.5 projection for the same period. The precipitation at Kuching and Bintulu is expected to increase slightly to 1.6 and 1.4 at Kuching and Bintulu respectively; however, the seasonal shift is projected as follows: lesser precipitation during the December�February period and more during the June�August season. On the other hand, precipitation is expected to increase at Limbang during all seasons, when compared with the period of 1981�2010; it is expected that under RCP4.5 the annual precipitation at Limbang will increase by 10.5 during the 2071�2100 period. © 2017 WIT Press.
date: 2017
publisher: WITPress
official_url: https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-85048380828&doi=10.2495%2fSDP-V12-N8-1299-1311&partnerID=40&md5=6019b36279bd4f271dd6f79cd34a0f8c
id_number: 10.2495/SDP-V12-N8-1299-1311
full_text_status: none
publication: International Journal of Sustainable Development and Planning
volume: 12
number: 8
pagerange: 1299-1311
refereed: TRUE
issn: 17437601
citation:   Hussain, M. and Yusof, K.W. and Mustafa, M.R. and Mahmood, R. and Shaofeng, J.  (2017) Projected changes in temperature and precipitation in sarawak state of Malaysia for selected CMIP5 climate scenarios.  International Journal of Sustainable Development and Planning, 12 (8).  pp. 1299-1311.  ISSN 17437601