relation: https://khub.utp.edu.my/scholars/6751/ title: Lorenz time-series analysis using a scaled hybrid model creator: Abdulkadir, S.J. creator: Yong, S.-P. description: Lorenz time-series is characterized by non-linearity, noise, volatility and is chaotic in nature thus making the process of forecasting cumbersome. The main aim of forecasters is to apply an approach that focuses on improving accuracy in both one-step and multi-step-ahead forecasts. This paper presents an empirical analysis of Lorenz time-series using Scaled UKF-NARX hybrid model to perform one-step and multi-step-ahead forecasts. The proposed hybrid model is trained using Bayesian regulation algorithm. The experimental results based on two forecatingg erorr metrics, normalized mean squared error (NMSE) and root mean square error (RMSE) shows that proposed hybrid model provides better multi-step-ahead forecasts whilst addressing the issue of long term dependencies. © 2015 IEEE. publisher: Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc. date: 2016 type: Conference or Workshop Item type: PeerReviewed identifier: Abdulkadir, S.J. and Yong, S.-P. (2016) Lorenz time-series analysis using a scaled hybrid model. In: UNSPECIFIED. relation: https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-84995616526&doi=10.1109%2fISMSC.2015.7594082&partnerID=40&md5=7668b2df1c11192aaaefbcf4c16d9c33 relation: 10.1109/ISMSC.2015.7594082 identifier: 10.1109/ISMSC.2015.7594082