eprintid: 10494 rev_number: 2 eprint_status: archive userid: 1 dir: disk0/00/01/04/94 datestamp: 2023-11-09 16:37:06 lastmod: 2023-11-09 16:37:06 status_changed: 2023-11-09 16:31:32 type: article metadata_visibility: show creators_name: Shafiq, N. creators_name: Gardezi, S.S.S. creators_name: Nuruddin, M.F. creators_name: Abdullah Zawawi, N.A.W. title: Recurrent carbon footprint assessment and forecasting for conventional housing in tropical regions: A Malaysian case study ispublished: pub keywords: Building materials; Condition monitoring; Forecasting; Housing; Life cycle; Plaster; Regression analysis; Sustainable development; Tropical engineering; Tropics, Comprehensive assessment; Life Cycle Assessment (LCA); Monitoring and control; Multiple regressions; Multivariable regression; Multivariable regression model; Prediction model; Statistical criterion, Carbon footprint note: cited By 1 abstract: Almost all life cycle assessment methods of carbon footprint for conventional housing in tropical region have either ignored the impacts of recurrent carbon or considered based on random assumptions. To ensure the green and sustainable urban built environment, particularly in tropical regions, an accurate monitoring and control of carbon footprint requires a comprehensive assessment of all phases of project life cycle, including maintenance. This article presents an innovative and dynamic approach of forecasting of carbon footprint including the recurrent carbon by combining a statistical (simple and multiple regression) and simulation (3D parametric prototyping) technique in a partial LCA (cradle to site) study for a tropical built environment. The developed multivariable regression model satisfied the statistical criteria of an efficient and consistent tool as the average percentage error of the predicted and observed values was found within the acceptable range. The average contribution of CO2 ranged from 2.0 tons to 40 tons for 25 to 100 year of service life span. Ceramic tiles, false ceiling, plaster and roof tiles remained the top materials. The model validation observed an acceptable average error range from (�) 3.24 to (+) 8. The study analyzed the factual recurrent carbon footprint impacts and justified the importance of its inclusion in preemptive mitigation toward sustainability concerns at very early stage of the housing project. © 2017 American Institute of Chemical Engineers Environ Prog, 37: 839�849, 2018. © 2017 American Institute of Chemical Engineers Environ Prog date: 2018 publisher: John Wiley and Sons Inc. official_url: https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-85030091328&doi=10.1002%2fep.12708&partnerID=40&md5=3543c35a6ed776c3b993d310021909c9 id_number: 10.1002/ep.12708 full_text_status: none publication: Environmental Progress and Sustainable Energy volume: 37 number: 2 pagerange: 839-849 refereed: TRUE issn: 19447442 citation: Shafiq, N. and Gardezi, S.S.S. and Nuruddin, M.F. and Abdullah Zawawi, N.A.W. (2018) Recurrent carbon footprint assessment and forecasting for conventional housing in tropical regions: A Malaysian case study. Environmental Progress and Sustainable Energy, 37 (2). pp. 839-849. ISSN 19447442