Dass, S.C. and Lee, J. and Lee, K. (2016) Bayesian inference using two-stage Laplace approximation for differential equation models. In: UNSPECIFIED.
Full text not available from this repository.Abstract
We consider the problem of Bayesian inference for parameters in non-linear regression models whereby the underlying unknown response functions are formed by a set of differential equations. Bayesian methods of inference for unknown parameters rely primarily on the posterior obtained by Bayes rule. For differential equation models, analytic and closed forms for the posterior are not available and one has to resort to approximations. We propose a two-stage Laplace expansion to approximate the marginal likelihood, and hence, the posterior, to obtain an approximate closed form solution. For large sample sizes, the method of inference borrows from non-linear regression theory for maximum likelihood estimates, and is therefore, consistent. Our approach is exact in the limit and does not need the specification of an additional penalty parameter. Examples in this paper include the exponential model and SIR (Susceptible-Infected-Recovered) disease spread model. © 2016 Author(s).
Item Type: | Conference or Workshop Item (UNSPECIFIED) |
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Additional Information: | cited By 0; Conference of 4th International Conference on Fundamental and Applied Sciences, ICFAS 2016 ; Conference Date: 15 August 2016 Through 17 August 2016; Conference Code:125141 |
Depositing User: | Mr Ahmad Suhairi UTP |
Date Deposited: | 09 Nov 2023 16:18 |
Last Modified: | 09 Nov 2023 16:18 |
URI: | https://khub.utp.edu.my/scholars/id/eprint/6657 |