A decision support framework for a zoonosis prediction system: Case study of Salmonellosis

Permanasari, A.E. and Rambli, D.R.A. and Dhanapal Durai Dominic, P. (2011) A decision support framework for a zoonosis prediction system: Case study of Salmonellosis. International Journal of Medical Engineering and Informatics, 3 (2). pp. 180-195. ISSN 17550653

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Abstract

The rising number of zoonosis epidemics and the potential threat to humans highlight the need to apply a stringent system to prevent a zoonosis outbreak. Zoonosis is any infectious diseases that can be transmitted from animals to humans. This paper analyses and presents the development of a decision support system (DSS) that is able to support and provide prediction on the number of zoonosis human incidence. The DSS framework consists of three components: database management subsystem, model management subsystem, and user interface. A set of 168 monthly data from 1993-2006 was used to develop the database management subsystem. Data collection was collected from the number of human Salmonellosis occurrences in the USA published by Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). Six forecasting methods were applied in the model management subsystem. Finally, what-if (sensitivity) analysis was chosen to construct user interface subsystem. The result determined neural network as the most appropriate method. While, sensitivity analysis result for neural network indicated large fluctuation caused by the change of data input when added by new data. Copyright © 2011 Inderscience Enterprises Ltd.

Item Type: Article
Additional Information: cited By 1
Uncontrolled Keywords: analysis of variance; article; artificial neural network; decision support system; forecasting; incidence; information processing; predictive validity; salmonellosis; sensitivity analysis; United States; zoonosis
Depositing User: Mr Ahmad Suhairi UTP
Date Deposited: 09 Nov 2023 15:50
Last Modified: 09 Nov 2023 15:50
URI: https://khub.utp.edu.my/scholars/id/eprint/2350

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