Process Safety Assessment Considering Multivariate Non-linear Dependence Among Process Variables

Ghosh, A. and Ahmed, S. and Khan, F. and Rusli, R. (2020) Process Safety Assessment Considering Multivariate Non-linear Dependence Among Process Variables. Process Safety and Environmental Protection, 135. pp. 70-80. ISSN 09575820

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Abstract

Nonlinear dependencies among highly correlated variables of a multifaceted process system pose significant challenges for process safety assessment. The copula function is a flexible statistical tool to capture complex dependencies and interactions among process variables in the causation of process faults. An integration of the copula function with the Bayesian network provides a framework to deal with such complex dependence. This study attempts to compare the performance of the copula-based Bayesian network with that of the traditional Bayesian network in predicting failure of a multivariate time dependent process system. Normal and abnormal process data from a small-scale pilot unit were collected to test and verify performances of failure models. Results from analysis of the collected data establish that the performance of copula-based Bayesian network is robust and superior to the performance of traditional Bayesian network. The structural flexibility, consideration of non-linear dependence among variables, uncertainty and stochastic nature of the process model provide the copula-based Bayesian network distinct advantages. This approach can be further tested and implemented as an online process monitoring and risk management tool. © 2019 Institution of Chemical Engineers

Item Type: Article
Additional Information: cited By 20
Uncontrolled Keywords: Bayesian networks; Process monitoring; Risk management; Safety engineering; Statistical mechanics; Stochastic models; Stochastic systems, Copula functions; Multivariate process; Nonlinear dependencies; On-line process monitoring; Process safety; Stochastic nature; Structural flexibilities; Time-dependent process, Complex networks
Depositing User: Mr Ahmad Suhairi UTP
Date Deposited: 10 Nov 2023 03:27
Last Modified: 10 Nov 2023 03:27
URI: https://khub.utp.edu.my/scholars/id/eprint/13416

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